Blog Archive

Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Ukraine's euphoria will be short lived.

 A WELL COORDINATED AND EXECUTED PLAN 

WILL NOT AFFECT OUTCOME OF CONFLICT



Over the weekend Ukraine was able to inflict serious losses on Russia's strategic bomber fleet. A fleet the must be parked on open runway's as per international nuclear arms treaty. This provision was agreed to by both the United States and Russia so that everyone could know where these planes are by satellite and other surveillance means. It can be assumed that the United States provided that satellite information to Ukraine.

While a lose to Russia, these planes are a strategic part of their nuclear triad, Planes, submarines and ICBM's. They will have little effect on the war in Ukraine, unless it goes nuclear. One must wonder if this is a pre-emptive strike by NATO in anticipating that possibility.

Some seem to delusionally believe that Russia will now agree to a ceasefire and give up this conflict. It will not, and probably is now more hardened in their belief that only surrender by Ukraine will be acceptable. While talks will continue, there will not be a ceasefire that will rescue the Ukrainians on the ground. 

In reality this conflict has, up to now, been a limited operation by Russia. They have not declared war or actually went to an all out war footing. There is much pressure on Putin, by the Russian military and other political leaders to get this over with, rather than a long drawn out incremental conflict. So far, Putin has prevailed, hoping that sooner or later NATO will find that they cannot continue this drain on their economies and political will. NATO still believes the same will apply to Russia, except that Russia knows this conflict is an existential threat to their existence and will continue, no matter how severe the consequences.

At the same time China, presently a bystander, knows that after Russia, they are next on the menu. Their fate is now strategically tied to Russia's. The same goes for Iran and many more of the countries not part of NATO. 

This is what the prelude to global war looks like.






No comments:

Post a Comment

comments and opinions published at discretion of editor