ADVOCATES FOR IRAN WAR ARE REGROUPING
EFFORTS TO SUCK U.S. INTO DESTROYING IRAN WILL CONTINUE
It is clear that Trump would like very much to declare victory in the Iran conflict and move on to much more critical items in his agenda. It may be a very difficult balancing act that he will need to navigate to not be lured into an extended war in Iran.
Israel and its supporters are already regrouping and looking for a path to restart this conflict. While their military is overstretched and there is serious damage to their infrastructure, it is clear they feel that Iran is weakened and vulnerable to attack. The restraints on Israel may be from within and also U.S. public opinion is generally not in favor of a war in Iran. Trump may need a diversion to avoid being forced to resume the Iran war.
Iran in the meantime is purging any possible Israeli agents in the country, it is reported that over 800 arrests have been made and one can expect it will be a wide and deep dragnet for Mossad agents. Iran politically, at present, has been unified and strengthened.
An issue is now appearing about the IAEA inspectors, who it has been revealed have used their ability to monitor Iran to pass security information to the U.S. and Israel. Many are now concerned that they have lost their credibility and effectiveness everywhere in the future. Iran's reluctance to again allow monitoring will, of course, be used as an excuse to refire the war.
Russia and China will be very likely assist in rebuilding Iran's anti-aircraft defenses and also political assistance in the international forum. Iran may have increased their world public opinion due to their restraint and Israel has lost their standing due to their methods and vicious attacks on public figures.
There are several factions that desire war with Iran. First, of course, is Israel which has portrayed Iran as the source of all their misfortune. Iran has countered that by being very restrained in its reactions to Israel's attempts to lure them into a response that will gain world support. Then there are the neocons who seem to advocate any war anywhere, often motivated by increased weapons spending and possible access to resources for profit. This would include the neocolonial forces in the U.K. and France whose economies are struggling without their colonial incomes for support. As their former colonies in Africa have been pushing them out they are looking for new sources of financial gain. Of course, all these are backed by international business that will also have access to these resources. Then there are the anti-Trumpers who anticipate a prolonged war in Iran will divert him from his goals for reforming government and moving to acceptinging a more co-existential foreign policy.
While the war is on a pause, the forces advocating war are working on many fronts to force a resumption of the conflict.
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