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Monday, September 30, 2024

Russia revises nuclear use policy.

 COINCIDES WITH WESTERN DEBATE ABOUT LONG RANGE MISSILES

LOWERS THRESHOLD FOR USE OF NUCLEAR WEAPONS


Last week Russia issued its new policy concerning the use of nuclear weapons. It seems to be in an effort to be very transparent in the way it views the escalation of the proxy war between Russia and the U.S. and NATO.

In the past, ever since the beginning of the nuclear age and the previous cold war, the open policy of Russia was that Russia would only use nuclear weapons if attacked with nuclear weapons or there was an existential threat to Russia.

The new policy states that Russia would use nuclear weapons if there was a critical threat to their sovereignty. It also states that the use of nuclear weapons is permitted against a non-nuclear state engaged in aggression and the  nuclear states that support it.

This new policy is now national policy of Russia and is has now been codified to make it clear to western powers that the use of long range missiles to strike deep into Russia will be considered a critical threat to their sovereignty. It also makes clear that those who assist in such strikes will be possibly targeted with nuclear weapons.

The ongoing proxy war in Ukraine has seen the continuous escalation in an attempt to convince Russia to submit to western demands that Ukraine be part of NATO. It seems that Russia has now made it clear were a real red line is and that it will enforce that red line if necessary.

Many western analysts still believe Russia can be persuaded to withdraw from Ukraine and accept NATO expansion on their border. They also believe that no nation will ever use nuclear weapons, I suspect because no one has since WW2.  This premise is only valid until someone does. We will see if these same analysts are willing to find out.



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